Richard Lukas & Peter Urbantschitsch vs. Shimon Kagan Double Consulting

European Championship 2011 Velden
Double Consulting
2. Round

 

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9 pts match, Score is  Richard Lukas&Peter Urbantschitch: 10,   Shimon Kagan:1

xg summery: 

Shimon Kagan	Category	Richard Lukas-Peter Urbantschitsch
Expert (-0.0130)	Total Error	Intermediate (-0.0345)
Expert (-0.0108)	Checker Play	Advanced (-0.0198)
Advanced (-0.0184)	Cube Play	Distracted (-0.1735)
6.5	Performance Rating	17.2

Shimon Kagan	Game Per Game	Richard Lukas-Peter Urbantschitsch
World Champ. (-0.0008)	Game 1	Beginner (-0.0501)
World Class (-0.0086)	Game 2	World Class (-0.0062)
Advanced (-0.0189)	Game 3	Expert (-0.0114)
Expert (-0.0138)	Game 4	Beginner (-0.0490)

Snowie summery:

Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated)
Player	Shimon Kagan	Richard Lukas-Peter Urbantschi
Rating	advanced	beginner
Overall	6,433	17,263
Checker play	4,231	8,643
Double	0,258	8,149
Take	1,943	0,471
Favorite
Shimon Kagan was 57,05% - 42,95% favorite.

Nearly ashaming to post this match. playing a performancerating of 17.2 we really should hide somewhere :) With big respect i entered the table with peter. At my last match with Shimon i had no chance. We played a 5 point match and he didnt made a single error.

He joined the double consulting without a partner. we started the match knowing he plays a lot better then us. funny thing is that he didnt played sooo strong. actually he played a performance i usually play but we played much worse then normal.

Most interessting positions during the match:

Our fist blunder. i think i convinced peter to do so. he was about to make the right move. We had the choice of giving one direct hit or 2 inderect hits with weakening our position. i thought keeping the 3-bock on 6,7 and 8 is stronger even when he hit us. It took us some time to decide to do the wrong move. Equity loss -0.224

correct move 8/2 6/2

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Again a move we though long about. Maybe we shouldnt think and just play :) the only danger was a double 5 which would kill us. i thought moving from 7 gives us more possibilitys to close the house. what we missed to see was the disaster roll we of course rolled at next roll. a double 4.

correct move 22/11

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He again danced. i thought it is too good to double and still think it is when i look at it.

but analize say double blunder.

correct decision double/drop

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after rolling double 4 we got into this position. a shot at 15 and a good chance to get him at our 3.

i still thought we are big favorit but i was totally wrong. still i am in trouble to accept that Shimon is favorit in this position. Our chance to win is just 45% with a 24% chance of gammon. Therefor our double a blunder.

correct decision no double/take

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right after the double the next dangerous roll. closing the 1 was a easy decission. again a double 5 would be a disaster. and double 3 dangerous but any other roll would be no big deal. Our checker on 16 is just save for now and give us the chance to hit him on 15. the only explanation i can see to justify the move as blunder is the danger of double 4. equity loss -0.090.

correct move 16/13 6/3 4/1(2)

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same thing again at next move. still the double 4 problem may justify the blunder.

correct move 16/14 7/3

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5 antijokers in a raw not rolling a 6. i slowly lost confidence in the game. but at last moment we rolled it and made a gammon. what a nightmare game with a good end :)

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interessting blunder here. i am aware of the importence of the 20 spot. but more importend then a hit ?

equity loss -0.086

correct move 24/20 23/20

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legendary... sensational... unbelievebal crazy joker peter rolled here :) and he didnt even see how big the joker was in the first moment. i told him close the 6 and he said "what?... ah ... oh ... year :) this joker changed the game from an equity of -0.647 to +0.614. a real magic roll.

 

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We finally got into this position. 77.5 % winchance and our double is a blunder. well he could go for the match taking the double and double back to 8. he didnt took the chance and droped which was a blunder too.

correct decision no double/take

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6:1in front and we still dont play really confident. i never would do this blunder under normal circumstances :)

equity loss -0.427 !!!!!!! what a crap move

correct move 13/10 8/4

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but also shimon plays blunders. equity loss -0.156

correct move 8/3

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that this double here is a blunder makes me wonder. we where even thinking about if it is maybe too good to double. winchance 63% gammonchance 34% !!!

correct decision no double/take

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well ... considering the coming nightmarerolls the double before was not so good.

at the score of 6:1 we got into this situation. he doubled back to 4. peter wanted to drop but i insisted to take. the take was correct but he rolled a 3/1 and i was sorry that i convinced peter to take. if we get gammoned its over.

correct decision double/take

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but it came different. god thx he coulnt escape from our house and found himself in a difficulty situation and played a blunder. equity loss -0.120

correct move 7/4 3/1

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we escaped and won the match. we kicked out Shimon !!! lucky but we did. when we can win against Shimon then we can win against everybody :) ready for round 3

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Richard Lukas & Peter Urbantschitsch vs. Popesko's Double Consulting

European Championship 2011 Velden
Double Consulting
1. Round

 

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9 pts match, Score is  Richard Lukas&Peter Urbantschitch: 9,   Popesko's: 7

xg summery: 

Popesko's	Category	Richard Lukas-Peter Urbantschitsch
Advanced (-0.0190)	Total Error	Advanced (-0.0151)
Advanced (-0.0200)	Checker Play	Expert (-0.0118)
Advanced (-0.0158)	Cube Play	Advanced (-0.0237)
9.5	Performance Rating	7.6

Popesko's	Game Per Game	Richard Lukas-Peter Urbantschitsch
World Class (-0.0073)	Game 1	Expert (-0.0104)
Expert (-0.0124)	Game 2	Advanced (-0.0211)
Expert (-0.0113)	Game 3	Expert (-0.0102)
Expert (-0.0121)	Game 4	World Champ. (-0.0013)
World Class (-0.0072)	Game 5	World Champ. (-0.0007)
Expert (-0.0145)	Game 6	World Champ. (-0.0037)
Advanced (-0.0217)	Game 7	Expert (-0.0130)
Advanced (-0.0210)	Game 8	Advanced (-0.0150)
World Champ. (-0.0047)	Game 9	Casual Player (-0.0366)
Expert (-0.0142)	Game 10	Intermediate (-0.0349)
Distracted (-0.0910)	Game 11	Advanced (-0.0212)
Intermediate (-0.0257)	Game 12	Casual Player (-0.0411)
Advanced (-0.0240)	Game 13	Advanced (-0.0191)
Beginner (-0.0605)	Game 14	Intermediate (-0.0319)
World Champ. (-0.0043)	Game 15	Expert (-0.0100)

Snowie summery: 

Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated)
Player	Popesko's	Richard Lukas-Peter Urbantschi
Rating	intermediate	advanced
Overall	11,405	8,409
Checker play	9,158	4,289
Double	2,247	2,971
Take	0,000	1,149
Favorite
Richard Lukas-Peter Urbantschi was 62,54% - 37,46% favorite.

Now it get serious. Peter and me start fighting at double consulting. Advanced performancerating of 7.6 is ok for the start. A close but clean win.

Most interessting Position during the match:

Looks like our opponents was disracted a bit :) at 3th move they move just 3 times 2 with a double 2. a blunder of course equity loss -0.095. but still they win the game.

correct move 8/4 7/5 6/4

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well ... i like targeting the 20 spot if there is not anything much better. analize say blunder equity loss -0.088

correct move 13/9 8/3

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i said so :) but peter very much wanted the save point so i accepted and we doubled.

correct decision to good to double/drop

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69% chance to win gammonchance 24.5% of course we should have double here.

double blunder equity loss -0.083

correct decision double/drop

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36 pips behind we thankful appriciate the opportunity to steal theyr pips :)

Blunder equity loss -0.095

correct move bar/23 13/7

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we would have taken the double for sure and loose 2 points.

correct decision double/take

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next roll the double came but again a blunder. with 79% winchance and 30% gammonchance too good.

correct decision too good to double/drop

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a very hugh blunder they did here. equity loss -0.200. a landingpoint for theyr checker in our house on the 16 would have been very importend.

correct move 22/16(2) 10/4(2)

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i very much would like to know why they moved from 8.  equity loss -0.084

correct move 10/4 6/1

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it was always a piece of work to convince peter to double :) 7 pips in front, one checker out already. 81% winchance and we are not doubeling !!!!  god thx they didnt rolled a high double. 

correct decision double/drop

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So far so good. Score 4:4 and peter starts with a usual move i usually dont do but didnt interfere. equity loss -0.106

correct move 8/2 6/2

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and another one. but this time i agreed. equity loss -0.093. i dont see the big advantage to hit on 4 insteed on 3. he may hit back 2 checkers which can end very unconfortable.

correct move bar/22 6/4

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a very hugh blunder of us. actually i was the force behind this move. i thought with the blot on 22 it is worth the risk as it looked very promising to me to be in nice position withhin the next roll if they dont roll a big joker. but obviously i was wrong even we got into the position i hoped for. equity loss -0.253

correct move 13/4

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in this game we competed each other with blunders :)

equity loss -0.148

correct move bar/22 13/10 8/5(2)

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even 10 pips behind i felt very strong. i am sure peter was against the double :)

winchance was 66%. not too bad but the analize say not enough to double.

correct decision no double/take

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26 pips behind we wanted to stay in theyr way. moving away from 9 came not to my mind. if they roll a double 5 we are dead.  but as always its a blunder not to close the 5. equity loss -0.096

correct move 24/16 9/5(2)

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dammit... it was me forcing peter to hit 2 checkers. he was about to make the right move. but it made us win the game :) equity loss -0.191

correct move 23/21 13/9

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a record bunder. equity loss -0448 !!! followed with a double/drop. i wouldnt have doubled if he moves correct i think.

correct move 21/15(2) 13/1

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Score 7:5, slowlie we get confident :) another little blunder of our opponent.

equity loss -0.101

correct move bar/21 6/4(2)

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closing the 5 or closing the 7. it took them some minutes to decide to make the wrong choice. always the 5 is the correct one :) equity loss -0.116

correct move 11/5 6/5

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3 blunders in a raw. but to be honest i would have done the same here. equity loss -0.117

correct move 23/21 11/7

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what chicken we are. as favorites in the game we drop the double :) interessting here is that we are 53% favorite in the game and the double is correct. why ever we are favorites here, i really dont see it.

they hit a second checker or close a 4th spot in theyr house or both with a lucky 33 which would bring us in gammondanger. with a gammon we would loose the match. i still think it was the right decission despite the analize result i normally always accept.

correct decision double/take

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chickenplay :) a 46% gammonchance and we get doubled. gladly we refused :)

correct decision too good to double/drop

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ouff score 7:7 a never ending thriller. and suddenly they get desperate.

a very funny opening move. blunder equity loss -0.224

correct move 24/20 13/8

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and after the desperate start they are not brave enough to go on with it. we gladly acepted that.

blunder again. equity loss -0.259

correct move bar/16

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i totally underestimated the gammonchance here. 42,5% !!! we where happy to get into the crofford game and doubled.

 correct decision too good to double/drop

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one little blunder away from victory. equity loss -0.125. i actually thought it is much stronger to have 3 checkers on 6,4 and 3 to be in good position of hitting if he leave the house with one checker. with closing the 2 i loose my material in my house and additional get in danger to get hit.

correct move 8/2 4/2

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match won 9:7    ready for round 2 :)

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Richard Lukas vs. Kwok Yan European Championship Velden Quater entree

European Championship 2011 Velden

Quater entree for Champions

 

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5 pts match, Score is  Richard Lukas: 2,   Kwok Yan: 7

xg summery: 

Richard Lukas	Category	Kwok Yan
Expert (-0.0147)	Total Error	Casual Player (-0.0351)
Advanced (-0.0178)	Checker Play	Advanced (-0.0222)
World Champ. (+0.0000)	Cube Play	Distracted (-0.0874)
7.3	Performance Rating	17.5

Richard Lukas	Game Per Game	Kwok Yan
World Champ. (-0.0012)	Game 1	Intermediate (-0.0303)
World Class (-0.0074)	Game 2	Expert (-0.0122)
Intermediate (-0.0271)	Game 3	Distracted (-0.0748)
Expert (-0.0138)	Game 4	Advanced (-0.0164)
Intermediate (-0.0259)	Game 5	Casual Player (-0.0418)
World Champ. (-0.0018)	Game 6	World Class (-0.0065)

Snowie summery:

Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated)
Player	Kwok Yan	Richard Lukas
Rating	novice	advanced
Overall	18,571	7,534
Checker play	9,101	7,482
Double	5,259	0,051
Take	4,212	0,000
Favorite
Richard Lukas was 69,28% - 30,72% favorite.

The last sideevent before it gets serious. Again i play Yan. But even i played much better in every single game (me expert, him casual player) i had no chance against his dices. This lost made me feel a bit unconfortable as it seemed that i am in a very unlucky phase and the mainevents are starting soon.

Most interessting Positons during the match:

Yans first bluner. kind of over confident after winning me 3 times :)

Equity loss -0.278

correct move bar/21 6/5

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double blunder. Again his confidence is very big. Some pips in front but with only some towers his postition is everything but good.

correct decision no double/take

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a big joker but he dont use it. very strange that he didnt hit me here.

equity loss -0.105

correct move 6/1 4/1

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This looks very interessting to me. i was hoping for a checker on 12. my checker on 24 seemed to me a danger. many combinations can hit and cover and i may dance and he can move his checkers from 12.

but analize say i should have waited at 24. equity loss -0.092

correct move 9/3 7/4

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amazing hugh blunder i did here. equity loss -0.307 !!!!! already 12 peeps in front i shouldnt have taken the risk of getting hitted it seems. i thought this may get gammon if he dance and only 4 rolls can hit me.

correct move 13/9 3/1
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of course he rolled one of the 4 rolls and missed the double.
doubleblunder equity loss -0.121

correct decision double/take
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finally i got him and doubled with a 73% winchance and 39% gammonchanc. it was a borderlinedouble nearly too good to double but still correct. he took the double which is a hugh take-blunder. equity loss 0.707

correct decision double/drop
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it looks a little dangerous to hit here. especially considering what lucky guy i am playing so i didnt. this blunder equity loss -0.122 cost me the game. he rolled 46 hitted me on 3 and i danced till it was over.

correct move 8/7 6/1
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of course i should have hitted here. stupid blunder. equity loss -0.166

correct move 6/5(2) 2/1(2)
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very hugh blunder. equity loss -0.462. staying on the 24 is a suicide attempt.

correct move 24/22 16/11
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what a antijoker. it was a though decision to make here. if he escape with a high roll he wins the game. if he hits me it also dont look good so i took my chance with a risky hit in the hope he dance or maybe hit on 1 and dont get out. but my choice was a blunder. equity loss -0.140

correct move 12/8 7/2
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i wanted to keep my chances high for closing the 6, but now i see it was useless as i have to move a 6 from 24 anyway. blunder equity loss -0.130

correct move 12/10 12/7
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i am sure he will shake his head when he see his blunder here :) first of all he missed to double equity loss -0.062. not closing the 1 is a fatal blunder. equity loss -0.328 !!!

correct decision double/drop
correct move 6/1 3/2
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