Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Richard Lukas vs. Kwok Yan European Championship Velden Quater entree

European Championship 2011 Velden
Quater entree for Champions

5 pts match, Score is  Richard Lukas: 2,   Kwok Yan: 7


xg summery: 
Richard Lukas Category Kwok Yan
Expert (-0.0147) Total Error Casual Player (-0.0351)
Advanced (-0.0178) Checker Play Advanced (-0.0222)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Cube Play Distracted (-0.0874)
7.3 Performance Rating 17.5

Richard Lukas Game Per Game Kwok Yan
World Champ. (-0.0012) Game 1 Intermediate (-0.0303)
World Class (-0.0074) Game 2 Expert (-0.0122)
Intermediate (-0.0271) Game 3 Distracted (-0.0748)
Expert (-0.0138) Game 4 Advanced (-0.0164)
Intermediate (-0.0259) Game 5 Casual Player (-0.0418)
World Champ. (-0.0018) Game 6 World Class (-0.0065)

Snowie summery:
Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated)
Player Kwok Yan Richard Lukas
Rating novice advanced
Overall 18,571 7,534
Checker play 9,101 7,482
Double 5,259 0,051
Take 4,212 0,000
Favorite
Richard Lukas was 69,28% - 30,72% favorite.

The last sideevent before it gets serious. Again i play Yan. But even i played much better in every single game (me expert, him casual player) i had no chance against his dices. This lost made me feel a bit unconfortable as it seemed that i am in a very unlucky phase and the mainevents are starting soon.

Most interessting Positons during the match:

Yans first bluner. kind of over confident after winning me 3 times :)
Equity loss -0.278
correct move bar/21 6/5
____________________________________________________________________
double blunder. Again his confidence is very big. Some pips in front but with only some towers his postition is everything but good.
correct decision no double/take
___________________________________________________________________
a big joker but he dont use it. very strange that he didnt hit me here.
equity loss -0.105
correct move 6/1 4/1
___________________________________________________________________
This looks very interessting to me. i was hoping for a checker on 12. my checker on 24 seemed to me a danger. many combinations can hit and cover and i may dance and he can move his checkers from 12.
but analize say i should have waited at 24. equity loss -0.092
correct move 9/3 7/4
_________________________________________________________________________
amazing hugh blunder i did here. equity loss -0.307 !!!!! already 12 peeps in front i shouldnt have taken the risk of getting hitted it seems. i thought this may get gammon if he dance and only 4 rolls can hit me.
correct move 13/9 3/1
____________________________________________________________________________
of course he rolled one of the 4 rolls and missed the double.
doubleblunder equity loss -0.121
correct decision double/take
_______________________________________________________________________
finally i got him and doubled with a 73% winchance and 39% gammonchanc. it was a borderlinedouble nearly too good to double but still correct. he took the double which is a hugh take-blunder. equity loss 0.707
correct decision double/drop
________________________________________________________________________
it looks a little dangerous to hit here. especially considering what lucky guy i am playing so i didnt. this blunder equity loss -0.122 cost me the game. he rolled 46 hitted me on 3 and i danced till it was over.
correct move 8/7 6/1
________________________________________________________________________
of course i should have hitted here. stupid blunder. equity loss -0.166
correct move 6/5(2) 2/1(2)
_______________________________________________________________________
very hugh blunder. equity loss -0.462. staying on the 24 is a suicide attempt.
correct move 24/22 16/11
________________________________________________________________________
what a antijoker. it was a though decision to make here. if he escape with a high roll he wins the game. if he hits me it also dont look good so i took my chance with a risky hit in the hope he dance or maybe hit on 1 and dont get out. but my choice was a blunder. equity loss -0.140
correct move 12/8 7/2
___________________________________________________________________________
i wanted to keep my chances high for closing the 6, but now i see it was useless as i have to move a 6 from 24 anyway. blunder equity loss -0.130
correct move 12/10 12/7
___________________________________________________________________________
i am sure he will shake his head when he see his blunder here :) first of all he missed to double equity loss -0.062. not closing the 1 is a fatal blunder. equity loss -0.328 !!!
correct decision double/drop
correct move 6/1 3/2
_________________________________________________________________________

No comments:

Post a Comment