European Championship 2011 Velden
Main Event
1. Round
Main Event
1. Round
11 pts match, Score is Richard Lukas: 11, Günther Holzinger: 0
xg summery:
| Richard Lukas | Category | Günther Holzinger |
| Advanced (-0.0193) | Total Error | Advanced (-0.0200) |
| Advanced (-0.0159) | Checker Play | Advanced (-0.0201) |
| Intermediate (-0.0314) | Cube Play | Advanced (-0.0172) |
| 9.7 | Performance Rating | 10.0 |
| Richard Lukas | Game Per Game | Günther Holzinger |
| World Champ. (-0.0046) | Game 1 | World Class (-0.0053) |
| Advanced (-0.0227) | Game 2 | Intermediate (-0.0256) |
| Casual Player (-0.0416) | Game 3 | Intermediate (-0.0262) |
| Expert (-0.0106) | Game 4 | World Champ. (-0.0038) |
| Intermediate (-0.0291) | Game 5 | World Champ. (-0.0028) |
| Intermediate (-0.0278) | Game 6 | Advanced (-0.0224) |
| World Class (-0.0065) | Game 7 | Intermediate (-0.0325) |
| World Class (-0.0089) | Game 8 | Intermediate (-0.0292) |
Snowie summery:
| Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated) | ||
| Player | Richard Lukas | Günther Holzinger |
| Rating | beginner | advanced |
| Overall | 13,033 | 8,261 |
| Checker play | 7,522 | 7,292 |
| Double | 5,511 | 0,968 |
| Take | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Favorite | ||
| Günther Holzinger was 59,80% - 40,20% favorite. | ||
A extraordinary luck factor gave Guenther no chance in this match. regarding to extremegammon we played nearly same niveau "advanced", but my luck was unbeatable.
Most interessting positions during the match:
Guenters first blunder after a very well played first game.
equity loss -0.149
correct move 24/18
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Winchance 63.8% gammonchance 43.5%. actually a interessting evaluation. i didnt had a good feeling here. i need twice a 4 to get out of his house. if i dont roll a 4 during the next 2-3 rolls and i loose the game.
it looks dangerous but if it is a 43 % gammonchance wouldnt it be anyway too good to double normally ?
not doubeling was not about too good ... i just where not confident enough in my position.
correct decision double/take
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of course i should have hitted and missed a good gammonchance here. i was just happy to get out of his house and didnt want to risk a hit getting back into the same situation i just got out.
correct move 22/18 5/3
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big blunder here. of course he need to hit the second checker.
equity loss -0.236
correct move 13/10 8/2
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arguable blunder. hitting on 5 can end pretty bad. there is a good chance that he may dance at a house with 3 covered spots. however analize say blunder. equity loss -0.083
correct move bar/5
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82% winchance 56% gammonchance. why ever i doubled here. pretty stupid if i look at it now.
correct decision too good to double/drop
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i dont see the reason why i should keep the blot on 10. well there are 2 more rolls to cover the 5 if i stay there but also 3 rolls to get hitted there. thats really worth it ? equity loss -0.081
correct move 8/4 6/4
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Score 4:0 ...70.8% winchance 24.5 % gammonchance. a typical position i dont feel so good in.
but doubleblunder
correct decision double/drop
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as if i dont know it anyway :) not covering the 5 is a blunder 99% of the time.
correct move 24/21 8/5(3)
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what a horrorblunder. something must have disracted me totally to overlook the possibility to cover 3
equity loss -0.394 !!!
correct move 8/3 4/3
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79.5% winchance 15.3% gammonchance
i overestimated the gammonchance and thought it is too good.
correct decision double/drop
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77.5% winchance 7.2% gammonchance still i thought it is too good.
correct decision double/drop
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this here i really dont understand. he took my double and it was correct !? the previous sample was a double/drop and this here is a take ? also winchance and gammonchance droped a little. the possiblitys to hit and cover didnt changed at all. the pipcount changed from -16 to -14. only good question is why i doubled now and not one roll before as the situation isnt changed :)
correct decision double/take
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Score 7:0 he urgently need to do something. chickenplay or he just didnt see.
very bad blunder equity loss -0.346 !!!
correct move 16/5
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winningchance 77.4% gammonchance 19%. again i thought it is too good to double. every other roll then a 6/1 works towards a possible gammon to me and still my winchance would be high even if he roll a 6/1. but analize say blunder.
correct decision double/drop
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a real disaster roll and seems i made the worst out of it. 18 pips behind i thought better to wait in the back in the hope to hit him and gain back some pips.i didnt liked the move it it didnt looked so bad either to me.
equity loss -0.395
correct move 19/7 8/4
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this is the game which ruined my rating most. another big blunder equity loss -0.212
correct move bar/20 8/5
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why this is such a high blunder i really wonder. a very usual move. equity loss -0.152
correct move 13/9 13/8
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Score 9:0 ... i wonder what he is waiting for ? most proper i would have droped the cube. but i guess my extreme luck in the past game took all his confidence or even interesst in the match
correct decision double/take
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croffordgame 10:0 out of my house can be the only advise in this situation. but he stayed. equity loss -0.155
considering my double 3 as next roll it was the right decission :)
correct move 23/18 10/6
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i think i would have done the same blunder. equity loss -0.271
correct move bar/18
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keeping the chances high to hit on 2 if i go out is the reason for the blunder here i think.
equity loss -0.115
correct move 18/16 7/6
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servus Lukas!
ReplyDeletebitte schau dir
www.taulajoe.blogspot.com an!
lg Bernhard