Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Richard Lukas vs. Gültekin Uygur Karma tournament played in Istanbul Chops Cafe

Karma tournament played in Istanbul Chops Cafe 13.3.2011
11 pts match, Score is  Richard Lukas: 8,  Gültekin Uygur  :11


xg summery: 
Richard Lukas Category Gültekin Uygur
Expert (-0.0135) Total Error Advanced (-0.0194)
Expert (-0.0146) Checker Play Expert (-0.0150)
World Class (-0.0074) Cube Play Beginner (-0.0597)
6.8 Performance Rating 9.7

Richard Lukas Game Per Game Gültekin Uygur
Expert (-0.0144) Game 1 Intermediate (-0.0318)
Casual Player (-0.0382) Game 2 Advanced (-0.0215)
World Champ. (-0.0032) Game 3 World Champ. (-0.0002)
World Class (-0.0092) Game 4 Distracted (-0.0809)
Beginner (-0.0576) Game 5 Intermediate (-0.0276)
Advanced (-0.0161) Game 6 Intermediate (-0.0252)
Expert (-0.0119) Game 7 World Champ. (-0.0015)
World Champ. (-0.0048) Game 8 Expert (-0.0115)


snowie summery:
Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated)
Player Richard Lukas Gültekin Uygur
Rating advanced intermediate
Overall 7,403 9,753
Checker play 6,399 6,417
Double 0,094 0,712
Take 0,909 2,624
Favorite
Richard Lukas was 52,06% - 47,94% favorite.

my nightmare opponent. close to every time i play better then him and loose. but with an expert rating of 6.8 i am satisfied and can say it was only the fault of the dices.

most interessting Position during the match:

his first move in the match a blunder. equityloss -135 with actually a kind of jokerroll in the beginning.
i never move 44 like this and was suprised what a big blunder it is. interessting that 13/5(2) is a even bigger blunder. 
correct move of course 24/20(2) 13/9(2)
____________________________________________________________________
some moves later 2 blunders in one position. he doubled considered as blunder equity loss -0.099 got a joker double 3 and moved it wrong. eqyity loss -0.093
correct move 13/10 11/8 6/3(2)
_________________________________________________________________________
i considered the right move here but scared of his usual lucky rolls i moved a blunder. considering that he rolled 22 with the next roll it was a good decission :) i loose -0.123 equity but would have lost much more if i would have moved right.
correct move 13/7
_____________________________________________________________________________
doublerolls are obviously not his strengh :) the 3th doubleroll and his 3th movingblunder. equityloss -0.084
a big gammonchance if i dance. suprising he moved this way because usually he is a reckless gammonhunter
correct move 6/2(2)
___________________________________________________________________________
its very hard for me to accept this move as blunder. i saw a big chance for me if he hits.  only a 33 would be a disaster. there is a little chance that i get a shoot on 2 checkers but nearly sure a shot on one. if i hit back i win the game. but analize say blunder. equity loss -0.166
correct move 22/15
__________________________________________________________________________
a situation i misjudge often. giving a shot for the advantage of a good position in the next roll if he dont hit. it looked too risky for me. a hit could get me in gammondanger. but analize say blunder. euquity loss -0.166
correct move bar/2 8/3
_____________________________________________________________________________
right the next move a similar situation. but this time i didnt even considered the correct move.
my move a big blunder equityloss -0.178 !!
correct move 8/3 24/23
___________________________________________________________________________
and again his weakness. he rolled a double and moved a blunder. but this time i would have moved the same way he did. kind of funny that all of his doublerolls so far where blunders. equity loss -0.136
correct move bar/22 7/4(3)
_________________________________________________________________________
my chance i knew he would take :)  take blunder
67% winningchance and 44% gammonchance and i made the gammon.
correct decission double/drop
__________________________________________________________________________
its amazing. he is one of the most successful players i know and every double he rolls he is moving a blunder :)
equity loss -0.083
correct move 13/10(2) 8/5(2)
___________________________________________________________________________
well the consequence of playing such a lucky guy is to get scared. it was barly a double.. just borderline and i drop it. of course a blunder. looking at it now i dont understand why i dropped it. of course a blunder.
correct decission double/take
__________________________________________________________________________
again a big chance because i was sure he will take again. 72% winchance 21% gammonchance
take blunder but as usual wrong decission against me get rewarded ... he won the game with a series of jokers
correct decission double/drop
_______________________________________________________________________
a very criticel position in my oppinion. a hit can ruin everything when i dance so i thought. therefor i played save. blunder equity loss -0.088 well i reduce my chances to close the 4 spot but still i think it was not worth the risk.
correct move bar/23 17/14
__________________________________________________________________________
i did see the disadvantage of my previous move. but here i dont see it. as long he cant hit me is is struggeling i thought and the danger at 23 looked to me the smallerst. 10 possible hitrolls make a close to 50% chance to get hitted. why risking that for a questionable advantage at the next roll ? equity loss -0.189 !??
correct move 17/9
____________________________________________________________________________
getting standard...he rolls a double he moves a blunder. :) equity loss -0.196  !! but still win the game and match.
correct move 24/22(2) 6/4(2)
_____________________________________________________________________


No comments:

Post a Comment