Leaguematch played in Istanbul Chops Cafe 13.3.2011
11 pts match, Score is Richard Lukas: 9, Aysun Utkular: 11
xg summery:
| Richard Lukas | Category | Aysun Utkular |
| Advanced (-0.0180) | Total Error | Intermediate (-0.0269) |
| Advanced (-0.0168) | Checker Play | Advanced (-0.0193) |
| Advanced (-0.0239) | Cube Play | Casual Player (-0.0433) |
| 9.0 | Performance Rating | 13.5 |
| Richard Lukas | Game Per Game | Aysun Utkular |
| Intermediate (-0.0300) | Game 1 | Advanced (-0.0248) |
| Advanced (-0.0159) | Game 2 | World Champ. (-0.0034) |
| Wow! (+0.0013) | Game 3 | Advanced (-0.0195) |
| Expert (-0.0105) | Game 4 | Advanced (-0.0185) |
| World Class (-0.0066) | Game 5 | Intermediate (-0.0329) |
| Intermediate (-0.0314) | Game 6 | Advanced (-0.0234) |
| World Class (-0.0073) | Game 7 | Casual Player (-0.0428) |
| Expert (-0.0111) | Game 8 | Intermediate (-0.0298) |
| Intermediate (-0.0338) | Game 9 | Advanced (-0.0243) |
| World Class (-0.0083) | Game 10 | World Class (-0.0092) |
| Expert (-0.0127) | Game 11 | Casual Player (-0.0420) |
| Advanced (-0.0163) | Game 12 | Casual Player (-0.0446) |
Snowie summery:
| Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated) | ||
| Player | Richard Lukas | Aysun Utkular |
| Rating | intermediate | beginner |
| Overall | 8,948 | 16,508 |
| Checker play | 7,414 | 8,788 |
| Double | 1,165 | 7,256 |
| Take | 0,369 | 0,464 |
| Favorite | ||
| Richard Lukas was 114,13% - -14,13% favorite. | ||
loosing this match hurted. not only because i was far the better player but also i it probably cost me the win of the season. Special the cube is Aysuns biggest enemy.
Most interessting positions during the match:
Rule number one .. close the 5. blunder equity loss -0.183
correct move 10/5 6/5
___________________________________________________________________
Rule number one .. close the 5. Blunder equity loss -0.214 !!
correct move bar/24 23/22 6/5(2)
___________________________________________________________________
of course a blunder. obviously didnt looked deep enough into the situation. equity loss -0.176
but considering that she rolled the joker 6:2 it was maybe not so bad.
correct move 24/21 3/2
_______________________________________________________________
double blunder.i for sure would have taken and would have lost 2 points
correct decission double/take
______________________________________________________________
would be interessting to know why she didnt double here. did she see the possible gammon or scared not to get out? however its considered as double blunder
correct decission double/drop
________________________________________________________________________
here i was very unsure what to do. i was aware that opening the 6 is weakening my housesituation but what is the use of a good house if you dont hit. i thought keeping my checkers on the 5 is much stronger for a hit.
but i was wrong. blunder equityloss -0.107
________________________________________________________________________
here i was very unsure what to do. i was aware that opening the 6 is weakening my housesituation but what is the use of a good house if you dont hit. i thought keeping my checkers on the 5 is much stronger for a hit.
but i was wrong. blunder equityloss -0.107
_______________________________________________________________________
i didnt want to risk a gammon if she rolls a double 6. blunder equity loss -0.091
________________________________________________________________________
well a clear double/drop situation but about any reason. i know her, she would take :) i didnt felt confident enough to double and i was right. she won the game. but still it is a blunder not to double.
__________________________________________________________________________
but not only me is missing confidence :) missed double at a 85% winchance.
_________________________________________________________________________
finally she doubled. we had both 11 checkers to bear off and 6 rolls time to roll a double for turning the game.
i thought i give it a shot. well i shouldnt have :) take blunder.
__________________________________________________________________________
5:0 and she was going on rolling very strong. 10 pips in front a clear double. good she didnt because i probably would have taken. counting pips is importend. you never should be too lazy to count. optic can fool you badly. double blunder
____________________________________________________________________________
a classic mistake. it doesnt matter where you offer the direct hit here. the opportunity to close the 5 spot is nearly always more importend then anything else. blunder equity loss -0.099
__________________________________________________________________________
this position is interessting. i thought hitting here is useless because it is unproper to close the 2spot with the next roll and closing the 8 spot looked nice to me. considering that her next roll was 55 i was better off not to hit but this doesnt count for the decission :) blunder equity loss -0.133
____________________________________________________________________________
rolling a joker and not looking deep enough. a unnessesary risk. if i roll a double 3 she would be very sorry and moan about being unlucky. blunder equity loss -0.086
_________________________________________________________________________
what she where thinking here is a mystery to me :) there is no difference in possible bad rolls if she moves in or not. blunder equity loss -0.111
________________________________________________________________________
a very interessting position. i wanted to keep my checker in the back if she escapes with a 3/6 or 5/4. i considered to hit but finally i thought if she cant move out i stand pretty strong with my move. i really dont see the advantage of offering 2 possible hits and reduce my chances for a hit and close on the 2spot. however i was wrong. blunder equity loss -0.083
__________________________________________________________________________
very crucial blunder. this hit is a must. she keeps me in the game and one lucky roll kills her and if i dance she may get in a good gammonposition. equity loss -.0226 !!
____________________________________________________________________________
also very interessting. i felt pretty good with this joker :) but thought that i shouldnt give her the chance to hit back. to offer her a doubleshot with a double1 looked to me a unnessesary risk. a rollout prooved to me that it is at least not a blunder but still an error with equity loss of -0.072
_______________________________________________________________________________
lucky her she got out of the previous situation and missed to double at a 72.27% winchance.
double blunder
______________________________________________________________________________
classicle hittingcontest situation so i thought. i didnt see the double 5 danger and of course she rolled double 5
blunder equity loss -0.085
___________________________________________________________________________
hitting 2 checkers is very tempting but a devastating blunder in this case. equity loss -0.374 !!!
___________________________________________________________________________
the cube her enemy :) 73.21% winchance 32% gammonchance missed cube blunder
____________________________________________________________________
a interessting cubeblunder. 78% winchance and just 15% gammonchance but still too good to double.
but she took the double which is a blunder also, so it was just fine :)
_______________________________________________________________________
i where thinking about it but why taking the 44 risk and maybe loosing the game ? in my solution there is only a risk for a 4/6 where i still would win the game. just would miss the gammon. but also a rollout didnt changed the fact that this was a blunder.i won it gammon and was back in the game with score 7:7
_________________________________________________________________________
once again ignoring rule number 1 :) close the 5 blunder equity loss -0.082
________________________________________________________________________
to be honest. i did not see the double here. winchance 65% gammonchance 17% double blunder
_____________________________________________________________________
the most crucial blunder of the match. a very good gammonchance. all the crazyness during the match made me play save. here i had the chance to win the match. stupid me missed it... very annoying.
__________________________________________________________________________
very scary and criticel position. but she urgently needs to slow down to be successful in the backgame.
closing the 2 spot was like giving up the game. blunder equityloss -0.0137
__________________________________________________________________________
she tryed really everything to loose the game gammon :) very criticel blunder equity loss 0.197
but my stupid dices gave me a 22 in this situation :(
_________________________________________________________________________
i thought about hitting both checkers from the 6. but the correct move here came not to my mind. and still when i look at it it seems a bit crazy. 21, 11 or 22 and i may even loose this game. but rollout say blunder. equityloss -0.166 !!
________________________________________________________________________
score 9/9, a 68% winchance 11% gammonchance. doubleblunder coming 6 more double blunder in the next rolls i will not post them.
________________________________________________________________________
score 9:10 a very funny blunder. never see someone playing double 6 like this.
equity loss -0.293 !!
________________________________________________________________________
giving up the 13 spot so early is not a good idea. blunder equity loss -0.174
______________________________________________________________________
playing desperate to a gammon but she dont need gammon in the croffordgame.
blunder equityloss -0.221 !!
______________________________________________________________________
insteed of saving her checkers she offers me 2 hits blunder equity loss -0.197 and i got slightly favorit in the game :) but all this didnt helped... she won the game/match
________________________________________________________________________
No comments:
Post a Comment