Leaguematch played in Istanbul Chops Cafe 13.3.2011
11 pts match, Score is Richard Lukas: 11, Erhan Dogrusöz: 7
xg summery:
Richard Lukas | Category | Erhan Dogrusöz |
Advanced (-0.0211) | Total Error | Advanced (-0.0190) |
Advanced (-0.0232) | Checker Play | Advanced (-0.0172) |
Expert (-0.0112) | Cube Play | Advanced (-0.0206) |
10.6 | Performance Rating | 9.5 |
Richard Lukas | Game Per Game | Erhan Dogrusöz |
World Champ. (-0.0030) | Game 1 | Advanced (-0.0177) |
Distracted (-0.0877) | Game 2 | Expert (-0.0104) |
Advanced (-0.0202) | Game 3 | Expert (-0.0112) |
World Champ. (-0.0042) | Game 4 | Advanced (-0.0186) |
World Champ. (-0.0032) | Game 5 | Intermediate (-0.0340) |
Expert (-0.0112) | Game 6 | Intermediate (-0.0250) |
Intermediate (-0.0341) | Game 7 | World Champ. (-0.0022) |
Intermediate (-0.0294) | Game 8 | Intermediate (-0.0308) |
Snowie summery:
Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated) | ||
Player | Richard Lukas | Erhan Dogrusöz |
Rating | intermediate | advanced |
Overall | 10,308 | 7,459 |
Checker play | 9,475 | 6,714 |
Double | 0,337 | 0,672 |
Take | 0,496 | 0,072 |
Favorite | ||
Erhan Dogrusöz was 67,99% - 32,01% favorite. |
this is the first match since ages i am winning not being favorit. performancerating over 10 makes me not really happy but i think my real rating is a bit better because there is a very doubtful blunder in the analize at end of the match. being much better in cubeplay made me finally win the match.
most interessting Positions during the match:
he starts with a unusual blunder for him. making towers is never a good idea. equity loss -0.092
correct move 15/11 13/10
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then a double blunder just 4 pips in front. but of course he wins the game :)
correct decission no double/take
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a big jokerroll but after the unlucky start not brave enough to use it. i thought if he hits me back i am gammon so i didnt hit on 5. big blunder equity loss -0.281
correct move bar/23(3) 7/5
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not closing the 5 is nearly always a blunder but i thought hitting here is more valuable and the chance of closing the 5 in the next roll is very high. but looking now closer into the situation makes it very clear. i dont need the 4th checker. a block of 4 would have been much better here. equity loss -0.314 !!! no wonder i have such a bad checkerplay rating this time
correct move 11/5 6/5
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temporary insanity... disracted somehow ... i dont know what happend in this game to me. probably rolling such a antijoker made me crazy here :) of course it would have been better to move from 11. this blunder made me loose gammon equity loss -0.245
correct move 11/8 7/1
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6:0 and i was really pissed :) but this often helps me to refocus and playing more concentrated and from now on it was running better. a blunder he does more often. its importend to split the 1 spot as soon you can especially when there are blots in front of you. equity loss -.101
correct move 24/23 13/11
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hmm interessting. i always did this move. picture saved, i will not do again :)
blunder equity loss -0.097
correct move 9/4 6/4
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i know .. i know. hitting in such a situation looks always so scray. if he hits back i loose all my advantage.
but if not then there is a big gammonchance. especially being 6:0 behind i should have played more agressive. blunder equity loss -0.130
correct move 24/22 3/2
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6:1 still not very promising. but now he starts to make mistakes. closing the 4 is much more valuable then closing the 7. better for the race and better for the position. blunder equity loss -0.122
correct move 10/4 6/4
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just running 22 pips behind is not such a good idea. better to build a house and hoping of a hit.
blunder equity loss -0.122
correct move 22/14 8/4
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3:6 looks a bit better. and he keeps making mistakes. kind of desperate hit :) maybe he hoped i would dance and he get a shot on the 7. but the probability of dancing is small. however, lucky him i danced :) blunder equity loss -0.113
correct move bar/22 24/22
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next move next blunder :) he gets the shot and is not shooting. equity loss -0.090
correct move 23/22 8/3
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another dangerous hit. blunder equity loss -0.172
correct move 23/22 13/8
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what he was waiting for here i dont know.if i roll a double 6 i win the game and the gammonchance is small.
cube blunder
correct decission double/drop
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3:7 its getting more and more dangerous to loose the match.
again his classic blunder with the 2/1 equity loss -0.155
correct move 13/11 24/23
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interessting position. i guess i would have moved the same blunder. equity loss -0.095
blocking the 6 for my checker on the 4 looks convinient somehow. on the other hand he have 2 open checkers insteed of one which can get him in trouble as my house is not too bad.
correct move 17/8
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not a blunder but still an error. a cube he better would have droped :)
correct decission double/drop
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also very interessting. why this is such a big blunder i dont understand. with my hit i have a big gammonopportunity. not hitting just give him the chance to get some lucky rolls or just move into his house which lower the chance of gammon. however, also a rollout didnt changed the fact that it is a blunder. equity loss -.174 !!
correct move bar/20 21/16 8/3(2)
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as there is no chance of covering the 4 in the next move it would have been better not to move there. blunder equity loss -0.124 i made the gammon and suddenly we are even 7:7
correct move 24/22 17/11
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nice joker but moved wrong. covering a 3th spot looked good to me. maybe he dance. but looking at it now it was useless because i reduce my opportunitys at my next roll. blunder equity loss -0.110
correct move 24/16 13/9(2)
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why ... why the hell why ? i dont get it. if he gets in, then close to every roll would hit me not to mention disasterrolls like 11 then he would catch probably 4 checkers. not only i lower the chances of getting hitted with my move but also the opportunity to cover the 5 spot in the next roll looks very nice. also in a rollout my move was a blunder. equity loss -0.135
correct move 21/16 13/9
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score 7:7. i thought long about if i should cube or not. looked a though decission to me doubling for the match. if i dont hit i am probably screwed. it suprised me how right i was doing it and how wrong he was taking. it was not even a close take. equity loss -0.131
correct decission double/drop
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finally a last bearoff blunder i to 100% disagree. this must be a glitch in the rollout analize function. or do you see a reason why i should risk to open a blot when i roll a double. score is 7:7 the game is doubled. i dont need a gammon. even if he roll 4 times 66 i am not concerned of loosing the game. in my oppinion it would be a blunder to bear off the 3. wouldnt be the first time i loose a game like this with a stupid hit.
doubtful correct move 3/off
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score is 7:7 the game is doubled. i dont need a gammon.
ReplyDeleteWasn't it an 11-point match?
If yes, you need a gammon and therefore bearing off a checker is better than throwing your checkers into the high-wastage points 1 and 2.
Or check if the rollout was done at the right score and with the right cube (value and owner).