Wednesday, March 9, 2011

Richard Lukas vs.Haluk Yorgancioglu at Yakin Takip tournament

Yakin Takip tournament played in Istanbul Chops Cafe 3.3.2011
third of 4 matches
7 pts match, Score is  Richard Lukas: 7,  Haluk Yorgancioglu  :0


xg summery: 
Richard Lukas Category Haluk Yorgancioglu
World Class (-0.0089) Total Error Intermediate (-0.0279)
World Class (-0.0073) Checker Play Intermediate (-0.0296)
Advanced (-0.0181) Cube Play Expert (-0.0127)
3.3 Performance Rating 14.0

Game Per Game
Expert (-0.0148) Game 1 World Class (-0.0058)
World Champ. (+0.0000) Game 2 Intermediate (-0.0330)
World Class (-0.0066) Game 3 Casual Player (-0.0421)

Snowie summery: 

Match simplified statistics (EMG Rated)
Player
Richard Lukas
Haluk Yorgancioglu
Rating
intermediate
intermediate
Overall
9,541
12,068
Checker play
8,530
12,068
Double
1,011
0,000
Take
Average Luck
0,000
35.603
0,000
-35.603
Favorite
Richard Lukas was 52,51% - 47,49% favorite.

another very strange snowie result. like snowie would have analized another match.

most interessting postitions during the match:

i start with a doubleblunder. i know its useless to disagree to a rollout but still a blunder ?
maybe the cube is a bit early ... but we are at the beginning of the match and i want a take and not a drop.
2 rolls later i it would have been a double/drop.
correct decission no double/take
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just some rolls later i am again in difficulty to accept my blunder
closing 2 spots in my house could lead to a gammon if he dance a bit. also moving in seems to be easy when 4 and 3 is covered. only a double 6 could be a problem but this justify the blunder ?
doesnt the right board look stronger ? well again ... arguing with a rollout is useless the left board have 0.093 more equity
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first 2 games haluk had no blunder but the 3th game he messed up. not hitting here cost him -0.186 equity
right move 13/10 13/7
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some moves later a interessting blunder. wouldnt have done the right move either i think.
  -0118 equityloss
right move 11/5 7/3... the risk is not much higher but the possible gain is
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right the next move a extremeblunder :) equityloss of -0395 !!!
in just 2 moves he wasted over 0.500 equity and i am suddenly in favorit position
right move bar/23 9/3
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i think out of desperation this blunder happend after the beautyful blitzsituation disappeared
right move 23/22 21/16
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then a stupid blunder of me. dont know what i was thinking of course i should cover the 5
right move bar/22 11/5 8/5
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this here is really interessting. considered as blunder with a loss of -0.133. first moment i accepted .... closing 8 and 7 did not came to my mind. my bad i should at least have considered. but as longer i looked at it as lesser i could believe. if he can take the 1 point then i am in deep trouble till the end of the bearoff.
which would have happend because he rolled 31 and 61 within the next 2 rolls.
i did a 5000 try rollout and the first time since i use extremegammon i proved xg+ wrong.  with +0.042 equity insteed of -0.133 my move was better.
wrong xgroller move 17/7 13/8 12/7

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